Buy Crypto- Markets
Futures- Spot
- Copy Trade
- Earn
- More
Analysis: Bitcoin Current Price Has "Almost No Bubble", with Nearly 40% of Chips in Unrealized Losses
BlockBeats News, November 6th: Analyst Murphy posted a message stating that Bitcoin has come very close to its fair value of $98,000 during the recent decline. Bitcoin's fair value is calculated as the average of historical MVRV, and if the market's valuation level (MVRV) is at its historical average, then BTC's price should be around this level, making the fair value a "mean-reverting center." The current price compared to the average cost of all active chips shows that there is almost no bubble.
If the market continues to remain rational, there should be value discovery and buying interest. If the price continues to fall, it indicates that the market has entered an irrational stage (oversold), possibly due to a confidence collapse. In such cases, participants tend to ignore value reversion and lean more towards active hedging. The current BTC Profit Supply Inflation Price (PSIP) is at 72%, already falling into the extreme range of a bull market pullback (70%-75%). Excluding Satoshi's coins and lost coins, this ratio is even lower, indicating that at least nearly 40% of the chips are currently at an unrealized loss. There is also a surge in the percentage of long-term holders at a loss, which is a signal that the pullback has entered a relatively bottom range.
The analyst believes that if the recent decline is not the extreme of a bull market pullback, it may mark the beginning of a bear market cycle. This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be considered as investment advice.
You may also like
6MV Founder: In 2026, the "landmark turning point" for crypto investment has arrived
Abraxas Capital Mints $2.89 Billion USDT: Liquidity Boost or Just More Stablecoin Arbitrage?
Abraxas Capital just received $2.89 billion in freshly minted USDT from Tether. Is this a bullish liquidity injection for crypto markets, or is it business as usual for a stablecoin arbitrage giant? We analyze the data and the likely impact on Bitcoin, altcoins, and DeFi.
A VC from the Crypto world said AI is too crazy, and they are very conservative
The Evolutionary History of Contract Algorithms: A Decade of Perpetual Contracts, the Curtain Has Yet to Fall
Kicked out by PayPal, Musk aims to make a comeback in the cryptocurrency market
Solana ETF News: What Is a Solana ETF and Why Is Goldman Sachs Betting $108 Million on SOL?
Solana ETF news today shows Goldman Sachs disclosed a $108M position while total SOL ETF inflows reached $1.45B. Analysts now expect up to $6B in institutional demand as Solana trades 71% below its all-time high.
Bitcoin ETF News Today: $2.1B Inflows Signal Strong Institutional Demand for BTC
Bitcoin ETFs news recorded $2.1B inflows over 8 consecutive days, marking one of the strongest recent accumulation streaks. Here’s what the latest Bitcoin ETF news means for BTC price and whether the $80K breakout level is next.
Michael Saylor: Winter is Over – Is He Right? 5 Key Data Points (2026)
Michael Saylor tweeted yesterday “Winter‘s Over.” It is short. It is bold. And it has the crypto world talking.
But is he right? Or is this just another CEO pumping his bags?
Let us look at the data. Let us be neutral. Let us see if the ice has really melted.
WEEX Bubbles App Now Live Visualizes the Crypto Market at a Glance
WEEX Bubbles is a standalone app designed to help users quickly understand complex crypto market movements through an intuitive bubble visualization.
Polygon co-founder Sandeep: Writing after the chain bridge chain explosion
Major Upgrade on Web: 10+ Advanced Chart Styles for Deeper Market Insights
To deliver more powerful and professional analysis tools, WEEX has rolled out a major upgrade to its web trading charts—now supporting up to 14 advanced chart styles.
Morning Report | Aethir secures a $260 million enterprise contract with Axe Compute; New Fire Technology acquires Avenir Group's trading team; Polymarket's trading volume surpassed by Kalshi
Why a Million-Follower Crypto KOL Chooses WEEX VIP?
Discover why top crypto KOL Carl Moon partnered with WEEX. Explore the WEEX VIP ecosystem, 1,000 BTC protection fund, and exclusive rewards for serious traders.
CoinEx Founder: The Crypto Endgame in My Eyes
Spark Coin (SPK): Explodes 73% as Aave Bleeds $15B, A Good Investment Now?
Spark coin (SPK) surged 73% as $15 billion fled Aave after the KelpDAO hack. This article explains what Spark is, why it’s pumping, and whether it is a good investment right now.
As Aave's building collapses, Spark's high-rise is rising
RootData: Q1 2026 Cryptocurrency Exchange Transparency Research Report
What Is Memecoin Trading? A Beginner's Guide to How It Works, the Risks, and 2026's Hottest Tokens
Memecoins surged 30%+ at the start of 2026 while Bitcoin was flat. RAVE spiked 4,500% then crashed 90% in days. MAGA jumped 350% overnight. This guide explains exactly how memecoin trading works — and how to not blow up your account doing it.
6MV Founder: In 2026, the "landmark turning point" for crypto investment has arrived
Abraxas Capital Mints $2.89 Billion USDT: Liquidity Boost or Just More Stablecoin Arbitrage?
Abraxas Capital just received $2.89 billion in freshly minted USDT from Tether. Is this a bullish liquidity injection for crypto markets, or is it business as usual for a stablecoin arbitrage giant? We analyze the data and the likely impact on Bitcoin, altcoins, and DeFi.
A VC from the Crypto world said AI is too crazy, and they are very conservative
The Evolutionary History of Contract Algorithms: A Decade of Perpetual Contracts, the Curtain Has Yet to Fall
Kicked out by PayPal, Musk aims to make a comeback in the cryptocurrency market
Solana ETF News: What Is a Solana ETF and Why Is Goldman Sachs Betting $108 Million on SOL?
Solana ETF news today shows Goldman Sachs disclosed a $108M position while total SOL ETF inflows reached $1.45B. Analysts now expect up to $6B in institutional demand as Solana trades 71% below its all-time high.
App