Could Stellar (XLM) Mirror XRP’s Epic Surge and Reach $1 in the Near Future? Fact or Fantasy?
As of September 8, 2025, the crypto market is buzzing with excitement, showcasing impressive gains across major assets. Bitcoin stands firm at $121,450, up 1.2%, while Ethereum climbs to $4,650 with an 8.5% increase. XRP is trading at $3.35, reflecting a 4.5% rise, and BNB holds steady at $850, up 4.5%. Solana surges to $198 with a 9.8% jump, Dogecoin hits $0.242 at 6.5%, and Cardano reaches $0.86 with a 9.6% gain. Staked Ether is at $4,640, up 8.4%, Tron at $0.36 with 3.0%, Avalanche at $25.50 showing 8.5%, Sui at $3.95 up 6.7%, and Toncoin at $3.60 with 4.5%. These movements highlight a vibrant market, and amid this, Stellar Lumens (XLM) is capturing attention with its potential to echo XRP’s remarkable rally.
Stellar Lumens has been on a tear, surging 87% over the past week, driven by robust buyer enthusiasm and promising technical indicators that suggest a possible breakthrough beyond its historical peaks sometime in 2025. This momentum feels like watching a sleeper hit in a blockbuster movie, where the underdog suddenly steals the spotlight, much like how XLM is positioning itself against the broader crypto narrative.
XLM Hits New Heights: Targeting Cycle Peaks at $0.63
Imagine XLM as a rocket fueled by market optimism, recently blasting to a yearly high of $0.54 as of today. This climb sets its sights on reclaiming cycle highs around $0.63, mirroring the path of XRP, which soared to fresh yearly highs of $3.70 just recently. The two assets share a striking 100-day correlation of 0.95, making XLM’s trajectory feel like a shadow play of XRP’s monster rally. It’s as if they’re dance partners in a high-stakes performance, each step amplifying the other’s energy.
This correlation isn’t just a coincidence; it’s backed by shared market dynamics that have investors drawing parallels. For instance, while XRP has dominated headlines with its price discovery, XLM’s steady accumulation phase during quieter months underscores a similar buildup of strength. Think of it like two athletes training for the same marathon—XRP crossed the finish line first, but XLM is hot on its heels, powered by comparable fundamentals.
Is XLM’s Chart the Bullish Standout in Crypto?
Seasoned trader Peter Brandt has spotlighted XLM as having the most compelling bullish setup among major cryptocurrencies. In a recent post on X, he analyzed a monthly chart, emphasizing the key levels that could define its future. He stressed that XLM absolutely needs to hold above its April low and achieve a strong close over $1 to break free from its current range. This isn’t mere speculation; Brandt’s insight draws from historical patterns where such structures have led to explosive moves.
Currently, that vital support level from April sits at $0.20, which is about 63% below today’s trading price of $0.54. Yet, pushing past $1 represents a real test, especially with XLM’s all-time high from 2018 at $0.93. Before that, resistance barriers around $0.62 and $0.80 might tempt sellers to step in, creating hurdles that feel like speed bumps on a highway to higher valuations.
Diving deeper into the XLM/BTC trading pair adds weight to this optimistic view. XLM has lagged behind Bitcoin in past cycles, but a clear bullish shift above the 0.000006 mark could signal a turnaround. Such a move might propel XLM to outshine the market at large, potentially entering a phase of true price exploration by the fourth quarter of 2025. It’s like comparing a steady climber to a sprinting leader—XLM’s potential reversal could turn it into the star performer.
Recent buzz on Twitter echoes this sentiment, with users frequently discussing XLM’s correlation to XRP and speculating on its next big move. Posts from influencers like Brandt have gone viral, amassing thousands of likes and retweets, while threads debate whether XLM could hit $1 by year-end. On Google, top searches include “XLM price prediction 2025,” “XLM vs XRP comparison,” and “Is XLM a good investment?” These queries reflect widespread curiosity, fueled by latest updates like Stellar’s network upgrades announced last week, which aim to enhance cross-border payment efficiency—further aligning it with real-world utility akin to XRP’s strengths.
XLM Futures Boom: Open Interest Soars to $620 Million
The excitement in XLM’s futures market is palpable, with open interest climbing to a fresh record of $620 million today. What’s intriguing is that funding rates are staying balanced, unlike the overheated levels seen in late 2024, signaling a market without extreme biases—a setup that often precedes major price swings. This isn’t hype; data from derivatives platforms shows a spot-led uptrend, where the cumulative volume delta has jumped to $3.1 billion from $2 billion in recent months.
Even during XLM’s price sideways shuffle between $0.30 and $0.20 since March, this delta kept rising, hinting at savvy buyers stacking positions quietly. It’s comparable to investors planting seeds during a quiet season, only to reap a harvest when conditions ripen. The 90-day spot taker volume delta further supports this, showing dominant buying pressure that has now eased into neutrality. Historically, XLM’s most powerful rallies ignite right after such phases, blending evidence of accumulation with technical poise for a breakout in the coming quarters of 2025.
Adding to this narrative, recent official announcements from the Stellar Development Foundation highlight partnerships with global financial institutions, boosting adoption. Twitter chatter has amplified these developments, with #XLMRally trending alongside discussions on how XLM’s low fees and speed make it a stronger contender for remittances compared to traditional systems. Google trends show spikes in searches for “XLM future price” and “Stellar Lumens news,” tying into real-time data like today’s 4.8% 24-hour change, a market cap of $14.2 billion, and trading volume of $395 million.
In this dynamic landscape, platforms like WEEX exchange stand out for their seamless integration of assets like XLM, offering traders low-fee futures and spot trading that align perfectly with spotting bullish opportunities. WEEX enhances user experience with robust security features and intuitive tools, making it a go-to choice for those capitalizing on rallies in Stellar and similar altcoins, all while building trust through reliable performance and community-focused innovations.
FAQ
What makes XLM’s chart look so bullish right now?
XLM’s bullish chart stems from strong technical structures, like holding key support at $0.20 and aiming for a decisive close above $1, as noted by analysts. Combined with rising open interest and spot-driven buying, it positions XLM for potential breakouts, much like its historical patterns.
How does XLM compare to XRP in terms of market performance?
XLM and XRP share a high correlation of 0.95, with XLM often following XRP’s lead in rallies. While XRP has hit higher peaks recently, XLM’s accumulation phase and lower entry points offer unique upside potential, backed by similar use cases in payments.
Is now a good time to invest in XLM for 2025 gains?
Based on current momentum, record open interest, and technical indicators pointing to breakouts, XLM shows promise for 2025. However, always research thoroughly, as crypto investments carry risks, and market conditions can shift quickly.
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Before using Musk's "Western WeChat" X Chat, you need to understand these three questions
The X Chat will be available for download on the App Store this Friday. The media has already covered the feature list, including self-destructing messages, screenshot prevention, 481-person group chats, Grok integration, and registration without a phone number, positioning it as the "Western WeChat." However, there are three questions that have hardly been addressed in any reports.
There is a sentence on X's official help page that is still hanging there: "If malicious insiders or X itself cause encrypted conversations to be exposed through legal processes, both the sender and receiver will be completely unaware."
No. The difference lies in where the keys are stored.
In Signal's end-to-end encryption, the keys never leave your device. X, the court, or any external party does not hold your keys. Signal's servers have nothing to decrypt your messages; even if they were subpoenaed, they could only provide registration timestamps and last connection times, as evidenced by past subpoena records.
X Chat uses the Juicebox protocol. This solution divides the key into three parts, each stored on three servers operated by X. When recovering the key with a PIN code, the system retrieves these three shards from X's servers and recombines them. No matter how complex the PIN code is, X is the actual custodian of the key, not the user.
This is the technical background of the "help page sentence": because the key is on X's servers, X has the ability to respond to legal processes without the user's knowledge. Signal does not have this capability, not because of policy, but because it simply does not have the key.
The following illustration compares the security mechanisms of Signal, WhatsApp, Telegram, and X Chat along six dimensions. X Chat is the only one of the four where the platform holds the key and the only one without Forward Secrecy.
The significance of Forward Secrecy is that even if a key is compromised at a certain point in time, historical messages cannot be decrypted because each message has a unique key. Signal's Double Ratchet protocol automatically updates the key after each message, a mechanism lacking in X Chat.
After analyzing the X Chat architecture in June 2025, Johns Hopkins University cryptology professor Matthew Green commented, "If we judge XChat as an end-to-end encryption scheme, this seems like a pretty game-over type of vulnerability." He later added, "I would not trust this any more than I trust current unencrypted DMs."
From a September 2025 TechCrunch report to being live in April 2026, this architecture saw no changes.
In a February 9, 2026 tweet, Musk pledged to undergo rigorous security tests of X Chat before its launch on X Chat and to open source all the code.
As of the April 17 launch date, no independent third-party audit has been completed, there is no official code repository on GitHub, the App Store's privacy label reveals X Chat collects five or more categories of data including location, contact info, and search history, directly contradicting the marketing claim of "No Ads, No Trackers."
Not continuous monitoring, but a clear access point.
For every message on X Chat, users can long-press and select "Ask Grok." When this button is clicked, the message is delivered to Grok in plaintext, transitioning from encrypted to unencrypted at this stage.
This design is not a vulnerability but a feature. However, X Chat's privacy policy does not state whether this plaintext data will be used for Grok's model training or if Grok will store this conversation content. By actively clicking "Ask Grok," users are voluntarily removing the encryption protection of that message.
There is also a structural issue: How quickly will this button shift from an "optional feature" to a "default habit"? The higher the quality of Grok's replies, the more frequently users will rely on it, leading to an increase in the proportion of messages flowing out of encryption protection. The actual encryption strength of X Chat, in the long run, depends not only on the design of the Juicebox protocol but also on the frequency of user clicks on "Ask Grok."
X Chat's initial release only supports iOS, with the Android version simply stating "coming soon" without a timeline.
In the global smartphone market, Android holds about 73%, while iOS holds about 27% (IDC/Statista, 2025). Of WhatsApp's 3.14 billion monthly active users, 73% are on Android (according to Demand Sage). In India, WhatsApp covers 854 million users, with over 95% Android penetration. In Brazil, there are 148 million users, with 81% on Android, and in Indonesia, there are 112 million users, with 87% on Android.
WhatsApp's dominance in the global communication market is built on Android. Signal, with a monthly active user base of around 85 million, also relies mainly on privacy-conscious users in Android-dominant countries.
X Chat circumvented this battlefield, with two possible interpretations. One is technical debt; X Chat is built with Rust, and achieving cross-platform support is not easy, so prioritizing iOS may be an engineering constraint. The other is a strategic choice; with iOS holding a market share of nearly 55% in the U.S., X's core user base being in the U.S., prioritizing iOS means focusing on their core user base rather than engaging in direct competition with Android-dominated emerging markets and WhatsApp.
These two interpretations are not mutually exclusive, leading to the same result: X Chat's debut saw it willingly forfeit 73% of the global smartphone user base.
This matter has been described by some: X Chat, along with X Money and Grok, forms a trifecta creating a closed-loop data system parallel to the existing infrastructure, similar in concept to the WeChat ecosystem. This assessment is not new, but with X Chat's launch, it's worth revisiting the schematic.
X Chat generates communication metadata, including information on who is talking to whom, for how long, and how frequently. This data flows into X's identity system. Part of the message content goes through the Ask Grok feature and enters Grok's processing chain. Financial transactions are handled by X Money: external public testing was completed in March, opening to the public in April, enabling fiat peer-to-peer transfers via Visa Direct. A senior Fireblocks executive confirmed plans for cryptocurrency payments to go live by the end of the year, holding money transmitter licenses in over 40 U.S. states currently.
Every WeChat feature operates within China's regulatory framework. Musk's system operates within Western regulatory frameworks, but he also serves as the head of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). This is not a WeChat replica; it is a reenactment of the same logic under different political conditions.
The difference is that WeChat has never explicitly claimed to be "end-to-end encrypted" on its main interface, whereas X Chat does. "End-to-end encryption" in user perception means that no one, not even the platform, can see your messages. X Chat's architectural design does not meet this user expectation, but it uses this term.
X Chat consolidates the three data lines of "who this person is, who they are talking to, and where their money comes from and goes to" in one company's hands.
The help page sentence has never been just technical instructions.

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