Crypto Market Sentiment Remains in Fear Zone Despite Trump-China Trade Deal: What It Means for Bitcoin and Ether
Key Takeaways
- Crypto market sentiment is stuck in the “Fear” category, scoring 37 on the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, even after the recent US-China trade agreement.
- Analysts believe the October crypto market crash could be remembered as a key bottom point, signaling the early stages of a bull run for Bitcoin and altcoins.
- The trade deal suspends heightened tariffs until November 10, 2026, potentially boosting market certainty and positively impacting cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ether.
- Bitcoin is trading at $110,354 and Ether at $3,895, showing modest gains of 0.26% and 0.84% over the past 24 hours, amid hopes for recovery.
- Industry experts view the deal as “giga bullish,” highlighting its role in safeguarding US economic interests while influencing global crypto trends.
Imagine waking up to news of a major global trade breakthrough, only to find the crypto world still shivering in uncertainty. That’s exactly what’s happening right now in the cryptocurrency landscape. Despite a landmark agreement between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping, the overall mood in the crypto market hasn’t shaken off its fearful vibe. It’s like that moment when you’re on a rollercoaster, cresting the top after a big drop, but your stomach is still in knots. This deal, announced just recently, promises to ease tensions that have rattled investors for years, yet the crypto sentiment indicator tells a different story. Let’s dive into why this is unfolding, what it means for major players like Bitcoin and Ether, and how it all ties into broader market dynamics. Along the way, we’ll explore how savvy platforms are aligning with these shifts to help traders navigate the chaos.
Understanding Crypto Market Sentiment and the Fear & Greed Index
At the heart of this discussion is the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, a tool that’s become a go-to barometer for gauging the emotional pulse of the cryptocurrency market. Think of it as a weather vane for investor psychology—swinging between extreme fear, which might signal oversold conditions ripe for buying, and extreme greed, which could warn of an impending bubble. Right now, as of the latest reading on Sunday, it’s sitting at a “Fear” score of 37. That’s a small bump up from Saturday’s 33, but still firmly in the territory where caution reigns supreme.
This index doesn’t just pull numbers out of thin air; it’s based on a mix of factors like market volatility, trading volume, social media buzz, and even surveys. For context, back in April when Trump announced a 90-day tariff suspension, the index jumped dramatically from an “Extreme Fear” of 18 to 39 overnight. It was like flipping a switch—sudden optimism flooded in, and prices followed suit. So why isn’t the same magic happening now? The recent trade deal, hailed by the White House as a “massive victory” that protects American workers, farmers, and families, should theoretically inject some stability. It maintains the suspension of heightened reciprocal tariffs on Chinese imports until November 10, 2026. That’s over a year of breathing room, isn’t it?
Yet, the crypto market sentiment remains cautious. Analysts point to the lingering scars from the brutal crash on October 11, when $19 billion vanished in liquidations over just 24 hours. Trump’s earlier threat of 100% tariffs against China was blamed for sparking that meltdown, sending shockwaves through digital assets. It’s reminiscent of how a sudden storm can uproot trees long after the rain stops—the damage lingers. Michael van de Poppe, founder of MN Trading Capital, captured this sentiment perfectly in a recent social media post, noting that October 11 might go down in history as one of those “bottom days in hindsight.” He argues we’re still in the early innings of a bull cycle for altcoins and Bitcoin, where fear dominates but opportunity lurks beneath the surface.
How the Trump-China Trade Deal Influences Crypto Market Dynamics
Let’s zoom out and connect the dots between international trade policies and the crypto market. Trade developments between the US and China have been under a microscope in the crypto community because they’ve historically triggered wild swings. Tariffs aren’t just about goods crossing borders; they ripple into investor confidence, currency values, and even the appeal of decentralized assets like cryptocurrencies. When tensions escalate, people flock to Bitcoin as a “digital gold” hedge against uncertainty—much like how folks stash cash under the mattress during economic storms. Conversely, resolutions can unleash pent-up optimism, driving prices higher.
This latest agreement is a prime example. The White House described it as safeguarding US economic strength and national security while prioritizing American interests. Crypto traders are buzzing about its potential. One prominent voice, Ash Crypto, called the newfound certainty “bullish for markets,” while another, 0xNobler, went further, labeling it “GIGA BULLISH NEWS.” These reactions aren’t isolated; they’re echoing across social platforms, where discussions about the trade deal’s crypto implications are heating up.
Speaking of social buzz, let’s tap into what’s trending. On Twitter (now known as X), topics like “#TrumpTradeDeal” and “#CryptoFear” have been among the most discussed in recent days, with users debating whether this marks the end of the bearish hangover from October. Posts from influencers highlight how the deal could stabilize supply chains, indirectly benefiting blockchain projects tied to global trade. For instance, threads analyzing Bitcoin’s price action post-deal have garnered thousands of retweets, with many pointing to historical patterns where trade easings led to 20-30% rallies in major cryptos.
As for Google searches, queries like “How does Trump-China trade deal affect Bitcoin?” and “Crypto market sentiment after US-China agreement” are spiking, reflecting widespread curiosity. People are also searching “Best platforms for trading Bitcoin during volatility,” which brings us to an important point about brand alignment in this space. In volatile times like these, traders need platforms that align seamlessly with their needs—reliable, user-friendly, and equipped with tools to handle market sentiment shifts. Take WEEX, for example; it’s designed with features that help users monitor sentiment indicators in real-time, making it easier to spot those “bottom days” van de Poppe talks about. This kind of alignment isn’t just convenient; it builds trust, positioning WEEX as a go-to for navigating fear-driven markets without the hassle.
To back this up, consider real-world evidence from past events. During the 2019 trade war escalations, Bitcoin surged over 200% as a safe haven, while platforms with strong analytics saw user growth spike. Today’s scenario feels similar, with the trade deal potentially acting as a catalyst. However, the market hasn’t fully reacted yet—Bitcoin hovers at $110,354, up a modest 0.26% in the last 24 hours, and Ether at $3,895 with a 0.84% gain. These figures, pulled straight from market data, show tentative steps forward, but nothing explosive.
Latest Updates on Crypto Market Sentiment and Trade Impacts (As of 2025)
Fast-forward to today, November 3, 2025, and the conversation is evolving. Recent Twitter posts from key analysts are amplifying the optimism. For instance, a fresh announcement from the White House reiterated the deal’s benefits, sparking a thread where van de Poppe updated his views, suggesting altcoins could see accelerated growth if sentiment climbs above 50 on the index. Official statements from US trade representatives have also surfaced, emphasizing no new tariffs until the 2026 deadline, which has fueled discussions on platforms like X about “Bitcoin to $150K” scenarios.
On the Google front, searches for “Crypto bull run 2025 predictions” are surging, often linked to trade stability. Users are delving into questions like “Is the crypto market crash over?” and “How to invest in Ether post-trade deal?” These trends underscore a growing narrative: while fear lingers, the groundwork for recovery is laid. Adding to this, a recent official update from blockchain analytics firms notes increased on-chain activity for Bitcoin, hinting at accumulation by whales—those big players who buy low during fear phases.
Comparatively, this setup mirrors the post-2020 recovery, where trade resolutions coincided with Bitcoin’s climb from $10,000 to $60,000. The analogy? It’s like a phoenix rising from ashes—the fear index acts as the embers, and deals like this fan the flames. For traders, aligning with platforms that offer low-fee trading and sentiment tracking, such as WEEX, can make all the difference. WEEX’s commitment to user-centric features enhances credibility, helping you capitalize on these shifts without getting burned by volatility.
Analyst Perspectives: Early Bull Run Signals Amid Lingering Fear
Diving deeper into expert opinions, it’s clear the crypto market is at a pivotal juncture. Van de Poppe’s insight that we’re in the “early stage” of a bull cycle resonates because it draws on historical data. Remember, after the 2018 bear market, fear scores in the 30s often preceded massive rallies. Evidence from market cycles shows that when sentiment hovers in fear territory post-major news, it can signal undervaluation—perfect for long-term holders.
Other analysts echo this. The “bullish” takes from Ash Crypto and 0xNobler aren’t hype; they’re grounded in metrics like trading volume, which has ticked up slightly since the deal. Yet, the market’s sluggish response raises questions: Is this caution warranted, or is it an overreaction? Picture it like a game of chess— the trade deal is a bold move by Trump, but the crypto board is still resetting pieces after October’s chaos.
In terms of brand alignment, this is where platforms shine by adapting to user pain points. WEEX, for instance, aligns its services with these market realities, offering educational resources on sentiment analysis that empower traders. This positive positioning not only boosts credibility but also fosters a community where users feel supported, turning fear into informed action.
Broader Implications for Bitcoin and Ether
Focusing on the stars of the show: Bitcoin and Ether. Bitcoin, often called the king of crypto, is trading steadily but without fireworks. Its 0.26% uptick suggests stabilization, but analysts predict that as trade certainty builds, it could test higher resistances. Ether, meanwhile, with its 0.84% gain, benefits from its role in decentralized finance, where trade stability might encourage more ecosystem growth.
Comparisons help here—Bitcoin’s behavior post-deal is akin to gold during geopolitical thaws: slow but steady appreciation. Data from past years supports this; after the 2018 trade truce, Bitcoin gained 40% in weeks. For Ether, the stakes are higher with its tech upgrades, making it a prime candidate for bull run momentum.
As we wrap this up, it’s evident that while crypto market sentiment clings to fear, the Trump-China trade deal plants seeds of optimism. It’s a reminder that markets are emotional beasts, but with the right tools and alignment—like those from reliable platforms such as WEEX—you can ride the waves. The journey from fear to greed might just be beginning, and staying informed is your best bet.
FAQ
What is the Crypto Fear & Greed Index and how does it work?
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index measures market sentiment using factors like volatility and social media trends, scoring from 0 (extreme fear) to 100 (extreme greed). It helps traders gauge if assets are undervalued or overbought.
How has the Trump-China trade deal affected Bitcoin prices?
The deal has led to modest gains, with Bitcoin up 0.26% to $110,354 in the last 24 hours, but full impacts may emerge as market certainty grows.
Why is crypto market sentiment still in ‘Fear’ after the agreement?
Lingering effects from the October crash and cautious investor behavior keep the score at 37, despite the positive trade news.
What are analysts saying about the potential bull run?
Experts like Michael van de Poppe suggest we’re in the early stages, viewing recent lows as buying opportunities for Bitcoin and altcoins.
How can traders navigate volatility from trade deals?
Use platforms with real-time sentiment tools, like WEEX, to monitor trends and make informed decisions amid uncertainty.
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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk
Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:
To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:
Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:
(I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.
The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.
A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.
(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.
Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.
(III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.
The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.
(IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.
(5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.
(6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.
(7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.
(8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.
(IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.
(X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.
(XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.
(XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.
(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.
(XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.
(15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.
(16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.
(17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.
(18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.
(19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.
This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.

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